Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.782876 2.047950 2.343450 2.698097 3.113230 3.585044 4.163697
2025-03-23 1.357654 1.702535 2.126197 2.688456 3.420336 4.347876 5.623751
2025-03-30 1.114539 1.480401 1.959614 2.640092 3.592537 4.894624 6.837635
2025-04-06 0.976961 1.359511 1.887460 2.680147 3.858982 5.577270 8.327132
2025-04-13 0.846125 1.223358 1.766930 2.621958 3.960179 6.020364 9.522744
2025-04-20 0.784598 1.175632 1.762352 2.726808 4.311793 6.883946 11.522358
2025-04-27 0.708724 1.094963 1.695041 2.719915 4.477747 7.466467 13.147861
2025-05-04 0.664504 1.057209 1.688129 2.806374 4.806118 8.365844 15.497322
2025-05-11 0.612887 1.000798 1.642895 2.819410 5.004211 9.059344 17.585075
2025-05-18 0.567767 0.949785 1.599945 2.828927 5.193817 9.761112 19.818892
2025-05-25 0.514176 0.878375 1.513400 2.747001 5.196445 10.096923 21.345624
2025-06-01 0.480374 0.838242 1.477755 2.755178 5.374663 10.809918 23.837421
2025-06-08 0.437963 0.782916 1.416874 2.724350 5.507074 11.531183 26.722006
2025-06-15 0.401311 0.735282 1.366920 2.713233 5.691318 12.430617 30.361021
2025-06-22 0.365352 0.684456 1.303880 2.664423 5.782526 13.134259 33.699779
2025-06-29 0.343007 0.657437 1.284353 2.704887 6.083017 14.398849 38.933137
2025-07-06 0.313745 0.613204 1.224134 2.646103 6.137823 15.063517 42.664102
2025-07-13 0.302164 0.603826 1.235586 2.752026 6.616183 16.936823 50.662873
2025-07-20 0.282330 0.574883 1.201335 2.745062 6.805791 18.070804 56.702517
2025-07-27 0.271525 0.564107 1.205751 2.832409 7.261594 20.069514 66.397660
2025-08-03 0.256324 0.542034 1.181948 2.845580 7.517249 21.540168 74.779708
2025-08-10 0.242238 0.521001 1.158114 2.855194 7.765478 23.052004 83.927119
2025-08-17 0.223713 0.488002 1.102332 2.772426 7.728088 23.640774 89.652954